Thursday, January 31, 2013

US Steel

US Steel, X, has had some big moves down this week. Currently trading at 22.34 just above their 100 day MA. Below is the daily chart.

www.freestockcharts.com

A bit of a channel forming, currently the range is about 26.00-21.20. That's not bad, a 22% move from bottom to top. Important points are the trend lines defining the channel and the 100 day. A downward break could see them moving back to 17.50 which is their current low.  An upward break could go fairly high but for safety I would cap it at 29.00-32.00. Trading a channel isn't too difficult. Buy at the bottom after a bounce sell near the top before the price action trades back down. Not much else to say about this one so here are some hypothetical trading points.

Entry1: 21.30 (This is a bounce off the bottom of the channel)
TP: 25.50 (Just under the top of the channel)
SL: 20.80 (Just under the bottom of the channel)

Entry2: 22.34 (Assuming tomorrow doesn't break the 100 day to the downside, this is playing a bounce off the 100 day)
TP: 25.50
SL: 21.75, 20.80 (Either just under the 100 day or just under the bottom of the channel, for this trade I would suggest playing it safe and going with the 21.75 SL)

Either of those trades could be taken with a TP of 29.00 or so but would need to be monitored closely, if the price action fails to break the top of the channel the trade should be terminated. A longer term view shows that the price is currently under the 100 week, a breach of the 100 week could see a move up to the high 50's low 60's. It is probably worthwhile to watch for a break of the 100 week. The weekly chart is below with the channel from the daily chart shown.

www.freestockcharts.com

If you have a stock you want analyzed leave it in the comments. 

Do your own research before taking any position. I do not currently own any X and do not plan on buying any within the next 72 hours.

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